My case illustrates how success is always rationalized. People really don’t like to hear success explained away as luck — especially successful people. As they age, and succeed, people feel their success was somehow inevitable. They don’t want to acknowledge the role played by accident in their lives. There is a reason for this: the world does not want to acknowledge it either.
michael lewis ended this speech by saying that “the world would be better off” if privileged grads keep themselves from believing they deserve “an extra cookie” for what’s really good luck. but by pulling all his examples from moneyball, he implicitly promises more cookies—millions, billions of them—to those with the willpower to hold out. he’s not asking anybody to be humble or good so much as to be rational, with an eye to maximizing future earnings. which is… disappointing, i guess? because all the arrogant & incompetent bankers in lewis’ books thought they were being smart, too.